The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 74.4%
Draw 17.1%
Sheffield Wednesday 8.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
74.6%
17.3%
8.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
18.2%
0%
Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derby County will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J. 28. Sanderson D. 5. Clarke M. 2. Murkin D. 42. Clark B. 27. Travis L. (C) 25. Brereton Diaz B. 19. Szmodics S. 10. Brewster R. 7. Agyemang P.
1. Charles P. (G) 6. Iorfa D. 22. Otegbayo G. 2. Palmer L. (C) 4. Fusire S. 24. Heskey J. 8. Ingelsson S. 17. McNeill C. 45. Adaramola T. 12. Yates J. 9. Lowe J.
Substitutes
54. Allen C. 34. Banel J. 37. Eames O. 3. Forsyth C. 29. Fraulo O. 44. Gordon I. 9. Morris C. 12. O'Donnell R. (G) 18. Ozoh D.
32. Emery J. 31. Grainger W. 27. Johnson R. 28. McGhee C. 18. Nakamba M. 21. Ndala J. 25. Stretch L. (G) 37. Thornton J. 11. Ugbo I.
Coaches
Eustace J.
Pedersen H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Brewster R. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Yates J. ⚽, Lowe J. (A),
33', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
37', Palmer L. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Clarke M. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Brewster R. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
74', McNeill C. ↓, Ndala J. ↑,
74', Szmodics S. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
75', Agyemang P. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
82', Yates J. ↓, Thornton J. ↑,
89', Clarke M. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
89', Fusire S. ↓, Ugbo I. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Sheff Wed is Relegated to League One
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
Derby has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sheff Wed has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Derby is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Derby: Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Langas S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Inactive)
Thompson L.
(Inactive)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Illness)
There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bernard D.
(Knee Injury)
Brown G.
(Injury)
Charles P.
(Injury)
Cooper L.
(Injury)
Lowe M.
(Injury)
Weaver E.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Batth D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Sheff Wed: Cooper M.
(Groin Injury)
Heskey J.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derby won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).