What is the expert prediction for Hull City vs Millwall?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Hull City vs Millwall. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Hull City vs Millwall Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, May 08, 2026)

Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen, TV 8
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+


	Hull City		Millwall

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.45
	2.92	3.26	2.48	Watch
	3	3.31	2.55
	2.89	3.34	2.45	Watch
	2.88	3	2.45
	2.99	3.3	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.87)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
32.3%

Draw
29.3%

Millwall
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	29.4%	58.8%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Millwall will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 15. Egan J. 4. Hughes C. 3. Giles R. 27. Slater R. 25. Crooks M. 10. Belloumi M. 21. Gelhardt J. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O.	13. Patterson A. (G) 18. Leonard R. 4. Crama T. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 24. De Norre C. 11. Azeez F. 10. Neghli C. 7. Ballo T. 19. Coburn J.
Substitutes
6. Ajayi S. 26. Dowell K. 24. Gyabi D. 13. Hirakawa Y. 22. Joseph K. 36. Koumas L. 5. Lundstram J. 37. McNair P. 12. Phillips D. (G)	67. Bannan B. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Cundle L. 14. Doughty A. 9. Ivanovic M. 17. Langstaff M. 2. McNamara D. 8. Mitchell B. 22. Watson T.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', De Norre C. 🟨,
69', Millar L. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
70', Belloumi M. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
74', Ballo T. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
74', De Norre C. ↓, Bannan B. ↑,
74', Gelhardt J. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
82', Sturge Z. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
86', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
88', Slater R. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 3.

Recent performances by Hull have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Millwall is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Hull: Collyer T. (Inactive) Drameh C. (Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Hamstring Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

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Last Results with these Odds

Hull City - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.92%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Millwall - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.72%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
02.05.26	Hull City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Hull City	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Leicester City - Hull City	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Hull City - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sheffield United - Hull City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTTL
- Millwall
English League Championship
02.05.26	Millwall - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Leicester City - Millwall	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Stoke City - Millwall	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Millwall - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	West Bromwich Albion - Millwall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.03.26	Hull City - Millwall	1:3
13.12.25	Millwall - Hull City	1:3
18.01.25	Millwall - Hull City	0:1
24.08.24	Hull City - Millwall	0:0
03.02.24	Hull City - Millwall	1:0
07.10.23	Millwall - Hull City	2:2
10.04.23	Hull City - Millwall	1:0

Hull City - Millwall: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide