Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	SuperSport 1
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Exxen, TV 8
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Hull City		Millwall

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.45
	2.92	3.26	2.48	Watch
	3	3.31	2.55
	2.89	3.34	2.45	Watch
	2.88	3	2.45
	2.99	3.3	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.87)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
32.3%

Draw
29.3%

Millwall
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	29.4%	58.8%

Hull City - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Millwall will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 15. Egan J. 4. Hughes C. 3. Giles R. 27. Slater R. 25. Crooks M. 10. Belloumi M. 21. Gelhardt J. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O.	13. Patterson A. (G) 18. Leonard R. 4. Crama T. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 24. De Norre C. 11. Azeez F. 10. Neghli C. 7. Ballo T. 19. Coburn J.
Substitutes
6. Ajayi S. 26. Dowell K. 24. Gyabi D. 13. Hirakawa Y. 22. Joseph K. 36. Koumas L. 5. Lundstram J. 37. McNair P. 12. Phillips D. (G)	67. Bannan B. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Cundle L. 14. Doughty A. 9. Ivanovic M. 17. Langstaff M. 2. McNamara D. 8. Mitchell B. 22. Watson T.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', De Norre C. 🟨,
69', Millar L. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
70', Belloumi M. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
74', Ballo T. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
74', De Norre C. ↓, Bannan B. ↑,
74', Gelhardt J. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
82', Sturge Z. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
86', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
88', Slater R. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 3.

Recent performances by Hull have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Millwall is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Hull: Collyer T. (Inactive) Drameh C. (Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Hamstring Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19:20	-1	15

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Millwall: 2.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Hull City - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.92%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Millwall - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.72%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
02.05.26	Hull City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Hull City	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Leicester City - Hull City	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Hull City - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sheffield United - Hull City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTTL
- Millwall
English League Championship
02.05.26	Millwall - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Leicester City - Millwall	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Stoke City - Millwall	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Millwall - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	West Bromwich Albion - Millwall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.03.26	Hull City - Millwall	1:3
13.12.25	Millwall - Hull City	1:3
18.01.25	Millwall - Hull City	0:1
24.08.24	Hull City - Millwall	0:0
03.02.24	Hull City - Millwall	1:0
07.10.23	Millwall - Hull City	2:2
10.04.23	Hull City - Millwall	1:0

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