Match Info

JAMAICA: Premier League - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Edward Seaga Sports Complex (Kingston)


	Tivoli Gardens		Vere United

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	5.2
	1.52	4.25	5.46
	1.49	4.16	5.63	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.57	4.3	4.98	Watch
	1.48	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.28)	4.19 ↓ (4.98)	5.33 ↓ (8.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tivoli Gardens
60.9%

Draw
21.9%

Vere United
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

18.3%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tivoli Gardens's form might have worsened.

Vere United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vere United's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Tivoli Gardens - Vere United Predictions

Users Predictions: Tivoli Gardens will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Haughton D. (G) 25. Cockings M. 7. Fuller N. 27. Garnett T. 21. Lewis A. 23. McKain T. 11. Nelson A. 5. Pryce B. 29. Simpson K. (C) 8. Smith K. 20. Williams J.	33. Atkinson K. 12. Cunningham M. 6. Forbes M. 19. Magee T. 10. Mckenzie D. 15. Mitchell D. 32. Pegoretti Marcos 21. Phillips S. 1. White R. 27. Whitfield D. 17. Woo Ling M.
Substitutes
1. Clarke N. (G) 17. Clarke S. 24. Jones S. 6. Reid O. 28. Shaw K. 4. Thomas N. 10. Wellington R. 3. Wilson K.	5. Brown C. 25. Brown K. 22. Dorman J. 24. Gourzong R. 31. Harrison M. (G) 23. Juba D. 28. Nelson B. 4. Thomas D. 8. Thomas R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Williams J. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Garnett T. ⚽,
14', 2 - 1, Magee T. ⚽,
36', Williams J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
48', Mckenzie D. ↓, Thomas R. ↑,
53', Garnett T. 🟥,
58', Smith K. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
59', McKain T. ↓, Clarke S. ↑,
69', Mitchell D. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
70', Whitfield D. ↓, Brown K. ↑,
73', Nelson A. ↓, Rose C. ↑,
79', Magee T. 🟨,
89', Brown K. 🟨,
90+4', Simpson K. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tivoli Gardens won 1.

Tivoli Gardens is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vere United has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vere United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tivoli Gardens is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Tivoli Gardens won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Tivoli Gardens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
17.02.25	Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	1:1 ✺
03.02.25	Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens	3:5 ✺
30.01.25	Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTL
- Vere United
Jamaica National Premier League
16.02.25	Chapelton Maroons - Vere United	1:1 ✺
13.02.25	Vere United - Harbour View	1:1 ✺
03.02.25	Vere United - Cavalier	1:2 ✺
30.01.25	Mount Pleasant - Vere United	4:1 ✺
26.01.25	Vere United - Racing United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
17.11.24	Vere United - Tivoli Gardens	2:2
29.01.24	Vere United - Tivoli Gardens	1:2
06.11.23	Tivoli Gardens - Vere United	1:2
13.02.23	Tivoli Gardens - Vere United	0:0
23.10.22	Vere United - Tivoli Gardens	1:1
24.04.22	Vere United - Tivoli Gardens	0:1
05.02.22	Tivoli Gardens - Vere United	Tivoli awarded

Tivoli Gardens - Vere United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide