The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hume City 64.3%
Draw 19.5%
Melbourne Victory Youth 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.4%
16.5%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
11.5%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hume City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hume City's form might have worsened.
Melbourne Victory Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hume City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Hume City - Melbourne Victory Youth Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hume City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Victory Youth will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hume City (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Bingham J. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Bozinovski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Wall P. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).
Victory Youth is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
Recent form of Hume City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Victory Youth has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Victory Youth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Victory Youth has had a series of away games.
In this match, Hume City is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 4:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Hume City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0.
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