Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 24

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: George Andrews Reserve (Melbourne)


	Dandenong Thunder		Melbourne Victory Youth

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	5.25	6
	1.29	5.5	6.3
	1.35	5.67	6.4
	1.32	5.92	6.75	Watch
	1.26	5.7	7.75
	1.33	5.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)	5.59 ↓ (5.75)	6.53 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandenong Thunder
69.5%

Draw
16.4%

Melbourne Victory Youth
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

15.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

14.7%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Dandenong Thunder - Melbourne Victory Youth Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Uchida Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', 2 - 0, Jalloh H. ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, ⚽,
83', 4 - 1, Kellis J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).

Dandenong Thunder is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Victory Youth is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dandenong Thunder may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dandenong Thunder is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dandenong Thunder won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
26.07.25	Dandenong Thunder - Melbourne Knights	4:0 ✺
18.07.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Dandenong Thunder	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Dandenong Thunder - Oakleigh Cannons	3:3 ✺
28.06.25	Avondale - Dandenong Thunder	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTTW
- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
25.07.25	Preston Lions - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	St Albans Dinamo - Melbourne Victory Youth	3:1 ✺
04.07.25	Green Gully - Melbourne Victory Youth	4:1 ✺
30.06.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Knights	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
28.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Dandenong Thunder	3:4

Dandenong Thunder - Melbourne Victory Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide