Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 18

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: George Andrews Reserve (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Dandenong Thunder		Hume City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	4.60	1.40
	8.3	5.5	1.24
	11	7.62	1.19
	8.39	5.79	1.29	Watch
	9.85	7.5	1.16
	11	6.88	1.2	Watch
	8	5.6	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.97 ↑ (3.75)	6.21 ↑ (3.66)	1.25 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandenong Thunder
10.4%

Draw
15%

Hume City
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

24.8%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

24.1%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dandenong Thunder's form might have worsened.

Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hume City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dandenong Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hume City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dandenong Thunder - Hume City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 0.

Dandenong Thunder is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hume City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Hume City is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong Thunder won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 2.1:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
20.06.26	Avondale - Dandenong Thunder	11:0 ✺
06.06.26	Dandenong Thunder - Caroline Springs George Cross	2:3 ✺
29.05.26	Heidelberg United - Dandenong Thunder	4:2 ✺
24.05.26	Melbourne City Youth - Dandenong Thunder	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Dandenong Thunder - St Albans Dinamo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
20.06.26	Hume City - Green Gully	3:2 ✺
05.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - Hume City	1:5 ✺
30.05.26	Hume City - South Melbourne	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Altona Magic - Hume City	1:3 ✺
16.05.26	Hume City - Avondale	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
13.03.26	Hume City - Dandenong Thunder	3:1
24.05.25	Dandenong Thunder - Hume City	1:1
14.02.25	Hume City - Dandenong Thunder	2:1
18.05.24	Hume City - Dandenong Thunder	0:0
10.02.24	Dandenong Thunder - Hume City	1:2
19.08.23	Dandenong Thunder - Hume City	3:4
13.05.23	Hume City - Dandenong Thunder	0:2

Dandenong Thunder - Hume City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide