Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Hungerford Town		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.65	3.6	2.25
	2.73	3.91	2.21
	2.73	3.91	2.22
	2.71	3.66	2.22
	2.65	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.38)	3.68 ↑ (3.54)	2.23 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
34.2%

Draw
24.9%

Chesham United
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

25.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

25.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hungerford Town - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
06.01.24	Dorchester Town - Hungerford Town	2:4 ✺
01.01.24	Hungerford Town - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Didcot Town - Hungerford Town	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Hungerford Town - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Beaconsfield Town - Hungerford Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWT
- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
06.01.24	Didcot Town - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
01.01.24	Chesham United - Harrow Borough	4:0 ✺
26.12.23	Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Chesham United - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Plymouth Parkway - Chesham United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.08.23	Chesham United - Hungerford Town	2:1
English Southern Premier League
19.10.15	Hungerford Town - Chesham United	3:1
22.09.15	Chesham United - Hungerford Town	2:2
11.04.15	Hungerford Town - Chesham United	2:0
06.12.14	Chesham United - Hungerford Town	1:2
10.12.13	Chesham United - Hungerford Town	1:0
English FA Trophy
30.11.13	Hungerford Town - Chesham United	2:0

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