Match Info
ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 22Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday
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 |
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 |
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Hungerford Town |
|
Merthyr Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
2.05 |
|
 |
2.7 |
4 |
2.08 |
|
 |
2.83 |
4.13 |
2.1 |
|
 |
2.83 |
4.18 |
2.12 |
 Watch |
 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
1.8 |
|
 |
2.79 |
3.85 |
2.08 |
|
 |
2.75 |
4 |
2.05 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(5.64) |
3.95 ↓
(4.68) |
2.04 ↑
(1.41) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hungerford Town
32% | Draw
23.1% | Merthyr Town
44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hungerford Town's performance.Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-16.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hungerford Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+21.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Hungerford Town - Merthyr Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Marquez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 68', 1 - 1, Jarvis C. ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 2, Handley T. ⚽,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Twamley L. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South). Recent matches Hungerford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Merthyr in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Merthyr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently opponents have a series of guest games. In this match Merthyr is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2). Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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