Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Hungerford Town		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3	4	1.85
	2.95	4	1.9
	3.45	4	1.78
	3.52	4.57	1.78
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	3.76	4.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.55)	4.01 ↑ (3.67)	1.88 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
28.2%

Draw
22.9%

Dorking Wanderers
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

24.6%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

24.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hungerford Town's form might have worsened.

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorking Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hungerford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hungerford Town - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Hungerford has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dorking is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dorking will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dorking to win the game is with odds 2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English National League South
02.05.22	Chippenham Town - Hungerford Town	3:2 ✺
30.04.22	Hungerford Town - Welling United	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Hungerford Town - Bath City	0:3 ✺
15.04.22	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
02.05.22	Dorking Wanderers - Dulwich Hamlet	4:3 ✺
30.04.22	St Albans City - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Dorking Wanderers - Concord Rangers	7:2 ✺
18.04.22	Welling United - Dorking Wanderers	0:4 ✺
15.04.22	Dorking Wanderers - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.08.21	Dorking Wanderers - Hungerford Town	1:2
English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Dorking Wanderers - Hungerford Town	2:0
English National League South
31.10.20	Hungerford Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:0
04.02.20	Hungerford Town - Dorking Wanderers	0:1
12.10.19	Dorking Wanderers - Hungerford Town	1:0

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