Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 33

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Welling United		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.55
	5.78	3.93	1.56
	5.8	3.76	1.6	Watch
	5.75	3.92	1.53
	5	3.7	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↑ (4.6)	3.8 ↓ (3.94)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
16.8%

Draw
24.2%

Dorking Wanderers
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

23.1%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

22.9%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Welling United - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Taylor J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Welling is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dorking is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dorking could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dorking is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2:16 (average 0.4:3.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
11.02.25	Enfield Town - Welling United	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Welling United - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Weymouth - Welling United	5:1 ✺
25.01.25	Weston-super-Mare - Welling United	1:4 ✺
18.01.25	Welling United - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWL
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
11.02.25	Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Dorking Wanderers - Slough Town	3:1 ✺
28.01.25	Dorking Wanderers - Aveley	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Welling United	2:1
18.04.22	Welling United - Dorking Wanderers	0:4
11.12.21	Dorking Wanderers - Welling United	3:1
13.02.21	Dorking Wanderers - Welling United	5:0
30.11.19	Dorking Wanderers - Welling United	2:0

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