Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 8

Date: 1 November 2022, Tuesday


	Oxford City		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.6	3.7
	1.81	3.4	3.8
	1.84	3.55	3.65
	1.85	3.51	3.97
	1.83	3.4	3.8
	1.79	3.66	3.82
	1.85	3.6	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.65)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	3.77 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
50%

Draw
25.8%

Hungerford Town
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.8%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.2%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Oxford City - Hungerford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Hungerford will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford City: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 5.

Oxford City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hungerford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Oxford City is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
29.10.22	Farnborough - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Oxford City - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Oxford City	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Hornchurch - Oxford City	1:4 ✺
English National League South
08.10.22	Tonbridge Angels - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWWT
- Hungerford Town
English National League South
29.10.22	Welling United - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Hungerford Town - Cheshunt	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Bath City - Hungerford Town	2:3 ✺
01.10.22	Dartford - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.04.22	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	1:0
04.12.21	Hungerford Town - Oxford City	0:1
09.02.21	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	4:0
01.12.20	Hungerford Town - Oxford City	1:4
01.01.20	Hungerford Town - Oxford City	1:2
26.12.19	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	3:2
01.01.19	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	1:2

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