Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 19

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Taunton Town		Winchester City

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	4.1
	1.75	4.01	3.96
	1.77	3.86	4.16	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.1
	1.71	3.6	4.22
	1.72	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.23)	3.7 ↑ (3.67)	3.94 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
51.9%

Draw
24.8%

Winchester City
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

24.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taunton Town's performance.

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Winchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taunton Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Winchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Taunton Town - Winchester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 0, Grimes N. ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, Hill I. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 18).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Winchester City - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.18%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
11.02.25	Taunton Town - Frome Town	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Bracknell Town - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Merthyr Town - Taunton Town	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Taunton Town - Wimborne Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWLT
- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
15.02.25	Gloucester City - Winchester City	5:0 ✺
08.02.25	Winchester City - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Walton & Hersham - Winchester City	4:2 ✺
25.01.25	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Winchester City - Frome Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL

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