Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	7	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6.25
	1.58	3.95	5.6
	1.54	3.98	6.6
	1.5	3.6	6.5
	1.52	3.96	6.65	Watch
	1.53	3.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	3.87 ↓ (4.18)	6.4 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
61.1%

Draw
24.2%

Guaraní Asuncion
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.2%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

20.6%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Guaraní will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Huracán has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guaraní is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Huracán could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Huracán is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Racing - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
20.03.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Rosario Central	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.03.23	Sporting Cristal - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.03.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.03.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Sporting Cristal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.03.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
24.03.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
14.03.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.03.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTWW

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