Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
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Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
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Mexico	Disney+
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Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Portugal	Sport TV2
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Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Huracán Buenos Aires		River Plate

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.85	2.3	Watch
	2.9	2.87	2.6
	3.5	2.82	2.35
	3.58	2.94	2.42
	3.49	2.91	2.37
	3.4	2.75	2.3
	3.44	2.81	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.95)	2.85 ↓ (2.89)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
27.6%

Draw
33%

River Plate
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31.9%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

31.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Huracán Buenos Aires - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 2 - 25%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Huracán (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Huracán (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galindez H. (C) 34. Campo I. 6. Pereyra F. 3. Carrizo L. 25. Ibanez C. 20. Ojeda E. 8. Gil L. 23. Peralta T. 10. Romero O. 14. Martinez A. 9. Caicedo J.	41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. (C) 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 15. Fausto Vera 6. Moreno A. 38. Subiabre I. 26. Galvan T. 19. Paez K. 9. Driussi S.
Substitutes
28. Babino L. 17. Bisanz J. 2. Blondel L. 18. Gimenez L. 52. Kalinger F. 19. Lescano L. 32. Meza S. (G) 41. Mora L. 21. Nervo H. 30. Paz N. 11. Ramirez E. 26. Sequeira L.	16. Bustos F. 22. Castano K. 33. Centurion E. (G) 11. Colidio F. 17. Diaz P. 35. Freitas J. 36. Gimenez U. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 39. Lencina S. 10. Quintero J. 7. Salas M. 18. Vina M.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Gil L. 🟨,
17', Pereyra F. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Driussi S. ⚽, Montiel G. (A),
30', Fausto Vera 🟨,
33', Acuna M. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Caicedo J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Driussi S. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
55', Martinez A. ↓, Bisanz J. ↑,
67', Galvan T. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
67', Subiabre I. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
70', Quintero J. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Peralta T. ↓, Blondel L. ↑,
74', Caicedo J. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
75', Campo I. 🟨,
80', Meza S. 🟨,
82', Colidio F. 🟥,
82', Carrizo L. 🟥,
85', 1 - 2, Montiel G. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Acuna M. ↓, Vina M. ↑,
88', Paez K. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
90', Romero O. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
90+6', Vina M. 🟨,
90+8', Bisanz J. 🟨,
90+8', Gimenez L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 3.

Huracán is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

River Plate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

River Plate could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Huracán: Rios M. (Ankle Injury) Vera F. (Inactive) Zabala D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Armani F. (Inactive) Centurion E. (Inactive) Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Meza M. (Foot Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Portillo J. (Inactive) Quintero J. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Huracán won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.03.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Belgrano	3:1 ✺
26.02.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTWW
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	River Plate - Banfield	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.02.26	River Plate - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.08.24	River Plate - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.03.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - River Plate	1:0
03.11.23	River Plate - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - River Plate	0:3
03.07.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - River Plate	3:2
01.08.21	River Plate - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1

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