Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Huracán Paso de la Arena		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.90	2.25
	2.55	2.95	2.63
	3.24	3.00	2.40
	3.19	2.96	2.39	Watch
	3.20	2.80	2.35
	3.05	2.97	2.29	Watch
	2.95	2.85	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.33)	2.92 ↓ (3.41)	2.37 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Paso de la Arena
30.3%

Draw
31.3%

Colón Montevideo
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

28%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Paso de la Arena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huracán Paso de la Arena's form might have worsened.

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colón Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huracán Paso de la Arena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Huracán Paso de la Arena - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 🟥,
29', (Penalty Awarded),
41', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).

Recent performances by Huracán have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Colon	21	8	6	7	20:23	-3	30
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26

Last Results with these Odds

Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.92%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Tacuarembó	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Plaza Colonia - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWWT
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWTW

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