Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 22

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Mexico	10:00	Disney+
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Uruguay	13:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+


	Uruguay Montevideo		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.10	2.25
	2.95	2.90	2.28
	3.02	3.07	2.44
	2.95	3.18	2.4	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.35
	2.98	3.14	2.19
	2.90	3.00	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.75)	3.05 ↑ (2.88)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
31%

Draw
29.8%

Colón Montevideo
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

30.9%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

29%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Uruguay Montevideo - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th and 6th).

Uruguay Montevideo is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Colón is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Colón is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Uruguay Montevideo has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:8 (averaging 0.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Uruguay Montevideo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Colon	24	10	6	8	28:27	1	36
14	Uruguay Montevideo	24	5	6	13	23:36	-13	21

Last Results with these Odds

Uruguay Montevideo - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.4%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.10.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Plaza Colonia - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.10.26	Colón Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	River Plate Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.09.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Colón Montevideo - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0
27.09.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:1
05.07.25	Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	5:1
10.11.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:1
22.07.24	Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0

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