The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Uruguay Montevideo 31%
Draw 30.2%
Colón Montevideo 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
30.9%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
29%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Uruguay Montevideo - Colón Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th and 6th).
Uruguay Montevideo has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Colón has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Uruguay Montevideo has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:8 (averaging 0.2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uruguay Montevideo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Colon
21
8
6
7
20:23
-3
30
14
Uruguay Montevideo
21
4
5
12
19:31
-12
17
Last Results with these Odds
Uruguay Montevideo - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.4%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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