Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Colón Montevideo		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.10	3.25
	2.02	3.1	3.35
	2.06	3.22	3.64
	2.05	3.39	3.48	Watch
	2.01	3.3	3.4
	2.14	3.24	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.05	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.3)	3.2 ↑ (2.95)	3.41 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Montevideo
44.6%

Draw
28.6%

Uruguay Montevideo
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colón Montevideo's performance.

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colón Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Uruguay Montevideo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Colón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Colón won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Colón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Colon	21	8	6	7	20:23	-3	30
14	Uruguay Montevideo	21	4	5	12	19:31	-12	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTWL
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
07.06.26	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.09.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:1
05.07.25	Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	5:1
10.11.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:1
22.07.24	Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0

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