Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Huracán Paso de la Arena		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.10	3.10
	2.14	3.10	3.05
	2.27	3.11	3.25
	2.02	3.33	3.66	Watch
	2.20	3.05	3.20
	2.20	3.25	3.25
	2.04	3.10	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.22)	3.15 ↑ (3.13)	3.24 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Paso de la Arena
42.8%

Draw
29%

Uruguay Montevideo
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Paso de la Arena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Huracán Paso de la Arena - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).

Huracán is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uruguay Montevideo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Huracán will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Huracán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26
14	Uruguay Montevideo	21	4	5	12	19:31	-12	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.07.26	Oriental de La Paz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.07.26	Uruguay Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.03.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:1

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