Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 11

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Uruguay Montevideo		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.80	2.95	2.35
	2.88	3	2.32
	2.85	3.16	2.49
	2.85	3.23	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.4
	2.89	3.3	2.38
	2.8	2.95	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.17)	3.1 ↓ (3.26)	2.39 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
32.3%

Draw
29.5%

River Plate Montevideo
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.5%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Uruguay Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Perez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3).

Uruguay Montevideo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

River Plate is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	River Plate	21	8	6	7	31:26	5	30
14	Uruguay Montevideo	21	4	5	12	19:31	-12	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.07.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLL
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.07.26	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Oriental de La Paz - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	River Plate Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	River Plate Montevideo - Cerrito	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTLW

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