Match Info

ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional - Round 15

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	4	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.8
	2.15	2.92	3.9	Watch
	2.17	2.96	4.2
	2.13	2.98	4.09
	1.95	3.1	4.2
	2.12	3.04	3.98	Watch
	2.12	2.87	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)	2.96 ↓ (3.25)	4 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
44.5%

Draw
31.9%

Lanús
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

29.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

30.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galindez H. (C) 29. De La Fuente H. 2. Tobio F. 6. Pereyra F. 3. Carrizo L. 13. Benitez A. G. 20. Echeverria R. 5. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 28. Sonora A. 43. Ramirez E. 10. Mazzantti W.	1. Aguerre A. (G) 21. Caceres J. 23. Dominguez N. (C) 2. Munoz E. 28. Ontivero O. 11. Alvarez F. 4. Perez G. 8. Boggio L. 17. Rodriguez A. 27. Torres J. 18. Diaz L.
Substitutes
33. Burdisso G. 16. Cabral R. 24. Fattori F. 8. Fertoli H. 25. Ibanez C. 32. Meza S. (G) 19. Perez M. 17. Ramirez S. 22. Siles P. 4. Souto L. 26. Toledo A. 21. Watson F. N.	9. Bou W. 20. Cabrera B. 32. Carrera R. 36. Gerez M. 40. Gonzalez A. 33. Irusta L. 24. Izquierdoz C. 26. Losada N. (G) 10. Marcelino Moreno 3. Morgantini N. 14. Salvio E. 22. Soler J. C.
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Sonora A. ⚽, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Izquierdoz C. ↑,
46', Perez G. ↓, Carrera R. ↑,
46', Sonora A. ↓, Fattori F. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Echeverria R. ⚽,
53', 3 - 0, Ramirez E. ⚽,
61', Ontivero O. ↓, Soler J. C. ↑,
62', Alvarez F. ↓, Marcelino Moreno ↑,
68', Ramirez E. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
77', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↓, Siles P. ↑,
83', Mazzantti W. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
84', Benitez A. G. ↓, Ibanez C. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huracán won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Huracán could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lanús have a series of home games.

Huracán will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Huracán: Abila R. (Injury) Ramirez S. (Injury)

There will not play in Lanús: Cabrera B. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Huracán won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Huracán won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Copa Argentina
19.09.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.24	Deportivo Riestra - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Tigre	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Argentinos Juniors - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLTW
- CA Lanús
Copa Sudamericana
18.09.24	Lanús - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.24	Lanús - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Lanús - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.08.24	Lanús - LDU Quito	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.05.23	Lanús - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0
10.07.22	Lanús - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - Lanús	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.08.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Lanús	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.03.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Lanús	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.15	Huracán Buenos Aires - Lanús	0:0

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