Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:30	DGO
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	21:30	Paramount+
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	04:30	Silk Sport 1, Silk Universal
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	03:30	Sport 4
New Zealand	12:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	02:30	MaxTV GO
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV2
Russia	03:30	Okko Sport
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	02:30	beIN Sports
Turkey	03:30	S Sport 2, S Sport+
United Kingdom	01:30	beIN Sports MENA English 2
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Venezuela	20:30	Inter
International	00:30	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz


	Lanús		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5.5
	1.68	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.65	5.63
	1.74	3.56	5.13	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5	Watch
	1.7	3.64	5.3	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)	5.38 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
56.1%

Draw
26.3%

Independiente Medellín
17.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

26.5%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lanús - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: Lanús will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 3. Morgantini N. 6. Luciatti A. 4. Perez G. 22. Soler J. C. 15. Loaiza R. 5. Izquierdoz C. (C) 21. Salvio E. 10. Marcelino Moreno 32. Carrera R. 9. Bou W.	25. Chaux E. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 23. Torijano F. (C) 13. Londono D. 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 15. Alvarado J. 14. Perlaza B. 33. Chaverra F. 27. Leon Muniz B. 17. Fory J. 9. Sandoval L.
Substitutes
7. Acosta L. 1. Aguerre A. (G) 40. Alvarez F. 8. Boggio L. 24. Caceres J. 18. Diaz L. 23. Dominguez N. 14. Gerez M. 2. Munoz E. 28. Ontivero O. 17. Rodriguez A. 27. Torres J.	3. Aja J. 30. Arizala J. 34. Blanco I. (G) 12. Chunga J. (G) 39. Escorcia L. 8. Garcia M. 11. Gonzalez J. 26. Graciano C. 5. Lima P. 20. Montano J. 6. Mosquera J. 70. Valencia K.
Coaches
Zielinski R.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Leon Muniz B. 🟨,
43', Loaiza R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Luciatti A. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
67', Chaverra F. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
67', Perez G. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
72', Perlaza B. 🟨,
72', Carrera R. 🟨,
79', Sandoval L. 🟨,
79', Sandoval L. ↓, Valencia K. ↑,
79', Perlaza B. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
81', Salvio E. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
90+4', Leon Muniz B. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Lanús is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Independiente Medellín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lanús have a series of home games.

In this match Lanús is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.24	Lanús - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Lanús - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.08.24	Lanús - LDU Quito	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.24	Lanús - Central Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTTWT
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
14.09.24	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
11.09.24	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.09.24	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.08.24	Independiente Medellín - Palestino	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLTW

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