Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 32

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Hutnik		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.83	3.6	3.6
	1.73	3.7	4.54
	1.87	3.45	3.94
	1.75	3.6	3.6
	1.84	3.53	3.96	Watch
	1.89	3.55	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	3.89 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
50.6%

Draw
25.8%

Lech Poznań 2
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.9%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

24%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Hutnik - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fratczak D. (G) 17. Chmiel S. 10. Drag M. 47. Glogowski K. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 11. Kielis P. 9. Lelek K. 23. Marcinkowski J. 92. Rakels D. 6. Urbanczyk M. 8. Zawadzki D.	12. Pruchniewski M. (G) . Brzyski I. . Jakobczyk K. . Kornobis I. . Kukulka K. 58. Monka W. . Nadolski A. 14. Olejnik P. . Orlowski M. (C) . Pietrzak M. . Wichtowski M.
Substitutes
77. Glogowski M. 39. Kaczorowski W. (G) 25. Stodulski K. 7. Swiatek K. 21. Szablowski K. 22. Waligora S. . Wojtowicz P.	11. Czekala M. . Gmur T. 9. Maza S. . Orzechowski K. . Stachowiak A. (G) . Stankiewicz I. 18. Wolski F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Marcinkowski J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Drag M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pietrzak M. ↓, Stankiewicz I. ↑,
46', Olejnik P. ↓, Czekala M. ↑,
46', Jakobczyk K. ↓, Maza S. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Rakels D. ⚽,
72', Wichtowski M. ↓, Orzechowski K. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Hoyo-Kowalski D. ⚽,
78', Drag M. ↓, Swiatek K. ↑,
83', Czekala M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hutnik Nowa Huta won 1.

Hutnik Nowa Huta is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lech 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hutnik Nowa Huta is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hutnik Nowa Huta to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hutnik Nowa Huta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Hutnik Nowa Huta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
04.05.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Hutnik	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Hutnik - Polonia Bytom	4:1 ✺
20.04.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWTW
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
04.05.24	Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz	1:1 ✺
29.04.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Lech Poznań 2	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
15.04.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
10.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
29.10.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Hutnik	4:3
06.11.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Hutnik	1:1
16.07.22	Hutnik - Lech Poznań 2	3:2
12.03.22	Hutnik - Lech Poznań 2	1:2
29.08.21	Lech Poznań 2 - Hutnik	2:0
14.03.21	Hutnik - Lech Poznań 2	0:2
05.09.20	Lech Poznań 2 - Hutnik	6:3

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