Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bravida Arena (Gothenburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Glova F. (Svk)


	Häcken		Aberdeen

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.6	5.75
	1.5	4.8	5.7
	1.53	4.5	5.5
	1.54	4.67	5.78
	1.4	4.33	5.5
	1.51	4.5	5.7
	1.53	4.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.92)	4.54 ↑ (3.58)	5.69 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
62.6%

Draw
20.8%

Aberdeen
16.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.3%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

25.9%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Häcken's performance.

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aberdeen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Häcken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aberdeen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	6.7%	3.3%

Häcken - Aberdeen Predictions

Users Predictions: Häcken will win (54 of 60 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.41% – 97.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Abrahamsson P. (G) 13. Sandberg S. 3. Hammar J. 5. Hovland E. 12. Fridriksson V. 18. Rygaard M. 11. Gustafson S. (C) 27. Romeo A. 37. Sadiq I. 19. Hrstic S. 24. Layouni A.	24. Roos K. (G) 2. Devlin N. 33. Rubezic S. 3. MacKenzie J. 20. Morris S. 10. Clarkson L. 4. Shinnie G. (C) 21. Polvara D. 23. Duncan R. 9. Miovski B. 11. Duk
Substitutes
8. Abdulrazak I. 30. Banozic S. (G) 1. Brattberg J. (G) 16. Dahbo P. 14. Gustafson S. 15. Hodzic K. 7. Laursen B. 22. Sana T. 23. Sonko M. L. 4. Tebo Uchenna F. 21. Totland T. 10. Youssef A.	8. Barron C. 36. Bavidge A. 22. Besuijen V. 30. Dadia O. 31. Doohan R. (G) 17. Hayes J. 5. Jensen R. 27. MacDonald A. 15. McGarry J. 7. McGrath J. 19. Sokler E. 26. Stewart A.
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Robson B.

Preview

1st leg.

Häcken is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aberdeen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aberdeen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Häcken have a series of home games.

Recently Aberdeen have a series of guest games.

In this match Häcken is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Häcken to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Häcken won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Häcken won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.08.23	Häcken - Sirius	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	Häcken - Žalgiris	5:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.08.23	Häcken - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Žalgiris - Häcken	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Häcken - KÍ Klaksvík	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL
- Aberdeen FC
Scottish League Cup
18.08.23	Stirling Albion - Aberdeen	1:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
13.08.23	Aberdeen - Celtic	1:3 ✺
05.08.23	Livingston - Aberdeen	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Charlton Athletic - Aberdeen	2:3 ✺
22.07.23	Preston North End - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Häcken - Aberdeen	2:0
22.07.21	Aberdeen - Häcken	5:1

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