Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 22

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Høddvoll Stadion (Ulsteinvik)

Referee: Nervik H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hødd		Lyn

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.80	2.38	Watch
	2.45	3.70	2.40
	2.32	3.55	2.55
	2.62	4.01	2.47
	2.35	3.94	2.6	Watch
	2.55	3.85	2.40
	2.57	3.82	2.39	Watch
	2.47	3.65	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.93)	3.79 ↓ (3.84)	2.45 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hødd
37.4%

Draw
24.5%

Lyn
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

24.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.8%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hødd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hødd's performance.

Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hødd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Hødd - Lyn Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hødd will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Buur O. (G) 3. Hanssen S. 7. Scarcella M. 5. Mulac M. 2. Ondo C. 16. Kaarsbo M. 8. Kallevag T. (C) 29. Haheim-Elveseter M. 19. Mikkelsen S. 11. Rawufu M. 9. Streete C.	1. Pedersen A. (C) 55. Haugen S. 6. Midtskogen A. 3. Race E. 18. Nilsen H. 24. Fredriksen D. 19. Kallevag O. 21. Skaug J. 17. Nois J. 10. Johansen M. 30. Sock F.
Substitutes
22. Abrahamsen K. 27. Andresen G. 20. Berisha J. 4. Blikstad E. 23. Gjerde F. 1. Kinn T. (G) 32. Riise B. 21. Roppen A. 33. Vike S.	25. Andersen M. (G) 27. Barnett I. 29. Gueye O. 22. Kurtovic W. 26. Memedov A. 7. Monglo I. 4. Sell W.
Coaches
Poulsen I.	Aadland M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Sock F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Nois J. ⚽,
61', Rawufu M. ↓, Abrahamsen K. ↑,
76', Sock F. ↓, Sell W. ↑,
80', Nois J. ↓, Memedov A. ↑,
83', Skaug J. 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Skaug J. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
90+1', Kaarsbo M. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Hødd is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lyn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lyn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hødd won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hødd won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hodd	24	10	4	10	40:48	-8	34
10	Lyn	24	8	4	12	39:49	-10	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Hødd
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.09.26	Åsane - Hødd	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Hødd - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Strømsgodset - Hødd	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Spjelkavik - Hødd	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.08.26	Hødd - Strømmen	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLWW
- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.09.26	Lyn - Egersund	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Kongsvinger - Lyn	4:4 ✺
26.08.26	Åsane - Lyn	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Lyn - Odd	5:1 ✺
08.08.26	Stabæk - Lyn	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.06.26	Lyn - Hødd	1:4
29.09.25	Hødd - Lyn	0:1
04.05.25	Lyn - Hødd	0:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
02.12.23	Hødd - Lyn	1:2
27.11.23	Lyn - Hødd	3:0

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