Match Info

Date: 22 May 2021, Saturday


	IFK Östersunds		Sirius

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.45
	2.88	3.4	2.43	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.38
	2.97	3.33	2.5
	2.9	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.88	3.42	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3)	3.36 ↑ (3.33)	2.41 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Östersunds
32.8%

Draw
28.1%

Sirius
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.3%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

20.8%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sirius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Östersunds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sirius could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

IFK Östersunds - Sirius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Östersund has the most likely position - 16 (22.09%), has project points - 30, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sirius has the most likely position - 13 (9.05%), has project points - 36, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Östersund has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sirius is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Östersund won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 29-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Östersund won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.05.21	IFK Östersunds - AIK	1:2 ✺
12.05.21	Djurgården - IFK Östersunds	2:0 ✺
09.05.21	Mjällby - IFK Östersunds	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	IFK Östersunds - Varbergs BoIS	1:2 ✺
25.04.21	Malmö - IFK Östersunds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLLLT
- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.05.21	IFK Göteborg - Sirius	2:2 ✺
12.05.21	Sirius - Elfsborg	0:2 ✺
08.05.21	Hammarby - Sirius	3:2 ✺
01.05.21	Sirius - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Häcken - Sirius	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
18.10.20	Sirius - IFK Östersunds	2:3
18.06.20	IFK Östersunds - Sirius	0:2
19.10.19	IFK Östersunds - Sirius	2:0
06.07.19	Sirius - IFK Östersunds	1:1
Svenska Cupen
03.03.19	IFK Östersunds - Sirius	3:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.09.18	Sirius - IFK Östersunds	0:1
23.05.18	IFK Östersunds - Sirius	5:2

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