Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Quintanar del Rey		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.79	Watch
				Watch
	4.15	3.25	1.82
				Watch
	4.14	3.4	1.88	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (2.82)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	1.85 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quintanar del Rey
22.4%

Draw
27.6%

Ibiza
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.1%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

26.8%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quintanar del Rey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quintanar del Rey's form might have worsened.

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ibiza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quintanar del Rey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ibiza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Quintanar del Rey - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ibiza will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bartual K. (G) 3. Jodar Ruiz D. 2. Santi 5. Romero F. 22. Navarro F. 18. Murcia R. 21. Fabra E. 10. Lorente J. 7. Bueno F. 11. Chabo 16. Perez T.	13. Belman (G) 5. Gonzalez Nacho 18. Indias I. 2. Diez S. 21. Errahaly M. 23. Gomez E. 12. Garcia D. 22. Joao Fersura 6. del Pozo D. 11. Castillo F. 24. Muller S.
Substitutes
24. Cantarero O. 26. Collado M. 4. Emanuelle E. 17. Fita R. 23. Gonpi O. 20. Guti 19. Iglesias E. 1. Montesinos M. (G) 6. Olmedilla O. 15. Pamies E. 8. Ruiz A.	3. Albert J. 7. Bebe 9. Davo 8. del Olmo I. 14. Fede 10. Gallar A. 1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. 4. Monjonell E. 16. Pedreno M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Castillo F. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Lorente J. (Pen),
27', Romero F. 🟨,
31', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joao Fersura ↓, Albert J. ↑,
46', Castillo F. ↓, Bebe ↑,
46', Errahaly M. ↓, Fede ↑,
47', Indias I. 🟨,
51', Jodar Ruiz D. 🟨,
63', Muller S. ↓, Davo ↑,
67', Murcia R. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
67', Perez T. ↓, Iglesias E. ↑,
72', Lorente J. 🟨,
72', Lorente J. ↓, Gonpi O. ↑,
78', Gomez E. ↓, Gallar A. ↑,
87', Chabo ↓, Fita R. ↑,
90', Gonpi O. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
103', 🟨,
105', Bueno F. ↓, Pamies E. ↑,
105', Fabra E. ↓, Olmedilla O. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Gallar A. (Pen),
1, Gonpi O. (Pen),
2, Fede (Pen),
2, Olmedilla O. (Pen),
3, del Pozo D. (Pen),
3, Ruiz A. (Pen),
4, Medina U. (Pen),
4, Fita R. (Pen),
5, Bebe (Pen),

Preview

Quintanar del Rey is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ibiza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ibiza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	Orihuela - Quintanar del Rey	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Alcalá - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Coria	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Navalcarnero - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.25	Ibiza - Teruel	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ibiza - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLL

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