Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 15

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.45	3.05	3.05
	2.41	3.1	2.9
	2.53	3.09	3.18
				Watch
	2.28	3.25	3.18	Watch
	2.43	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)	3.11 ↑ (2.91)	3.04 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
38.9%

Draw
30.2%

Mirandés
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31.4%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirandés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	35%	25%

Ibiza - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Mirandés will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ibiza: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (20.67%), has project points - 43, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mirandés has the most likely position - 22 (11.52%), has project points - 47, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, importance 48, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mirandés is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mirandés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ibiza will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.22	Ibiza - Leganés	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Burgos - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	Ibiza - Levante	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Cartagena - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
13.10.22	Ibiza - Eibar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
02.11.22	Mirandés - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Lugo - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Mirandés - Huesca	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Burgos - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
13.10.22	Mirandés - Levante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.05.22	Mirandés - Ibiza	4:0
17.10.21	Ibiza - Mirandés	0:2

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