Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Levante

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.4	3.2	2.2
	3.3	3.2	2.15
	3.71	3.3	2.17
				Watch
	3.4	3.42	2.11	Watch
	3.35	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.8)	3.26 ↑ (3)	2.17 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
27.7%

Draw
28.9%

Levante
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

31.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

31.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibiza's form might have worsened.

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	32.4%	47.1%

Ibiza - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Levante will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 10).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (9.56%), has project points - 48, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (36%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Levante has the most likely position - 1 (14.5%), has project points - 68, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

This event has quality 35, importance 47, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Levante is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Levante will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
16.10.22	Cartagena - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
13.10.22	Ibiza - Eibar	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Las Palmas - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Ibiza - Lugo	3:2 ✺
23.09.22	Sporting de Gijón - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTWL
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
16.10.22	Levante - Leganés	2:1 ✺
13.10.22	Mirandés - Levante	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Levante - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	FC Andorra - Levante	3:1 ✺
25.09.22	Burgos - Levante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLT

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