Match Info

Date: 13 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Ibiza		Eibar

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.37
	3.05	3.1	2.4
	2.95	3	2.46
	3.28	3.04	2.5
				Watch
	3.08	3.1	2.42	Watch
	3	3.05	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.75)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
30.7%

Draw
30.8%

Eibar
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30.5%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29%	29%	41.9%

Ibiza - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 9 - 29%). Eibar will win (votes: 13 - 41.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 24.5% – 59.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 7).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (7.01%), has project points - 52, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Eibar has the most likely position - 1 (9.46%), has project points - 64, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has quality 33, importance 37, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Eibar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eibar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
08.10.22	Las Palmas - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Ibiza - Lugo	3:2 ✺
23.09.22	Sporting de Gijón - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Real Oviedo - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Ibiza - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 TWLWW
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
10.10.22	Eibar - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
03.10.22	Zaragoza - Eibar	0:0 ✺
25.09.22	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	FC Andorra - Eibar	2:0 ✺
12.09.22	Eibar - Granada	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.04.22	Ibiza - Eibar	2:0
03.10.21	Eibar - Ibiza	3:1

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