Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 14

Date: 1 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Leganés

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.8	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.75
	2.75	3	2.75
	2.65	2.9	2.8
	2.79	2.97	2.96
	2.7	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.61	3.04	2.88	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.42)	2.94 ↓ (3)	2.82 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
34.8%

Draw
31.9%

Leganés
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	31.8%	31.8%

Ibiza - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Leganés will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ibiza: 16.3% – 56.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (14.95%), has project points - 45, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Leganés has the most likely position - 14 (6.43%), has project points - 53, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (18%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 37, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leganés is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.22	Burgos - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	Ibiza - Levante	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Cartagena - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
13.10.22	Ibiza - Eibar	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Las Palmas - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLT
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.22	Leganés - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Leganés - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Levante - Leganés	2:1 ✺
12.10.22	Leganés - Málaga	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Cartagena - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.03.22	Ibiza - Leganés	1:1
28.08.21	Leganés - Ibiza	1:2

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