Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)


	Burgos		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.4
	2.15	3	3.75
	2.22	2.95	3.45
	2.33	2.95	3.77
	2.1	2.88	4	Watch
	2.3	2.83	3.66	Watch
	2.24	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)	2.96 ↓ (3)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
42.3%

Draw
31.7%

Ibiza
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

31.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.1%	31%	6.9%

Burgos - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Ibiza will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Burgos has the most likely position - 9 (6.63%), has project points - 59, has currently - 21, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (12.05%), has project points - 47, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 33, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Burgos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ibiza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burgos will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
23.10.22	Lugo - Burgos	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Burgos - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
12.10.22	FC Andorra - Burgos	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Burgos - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Villarreal B - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
22.10.22	Ibiza - Levante	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Cartagena - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
13.10.22	Ibiza - Eibar	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Las Palmas - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Ibiza - Lugo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.04.22	Burgos - Ibiza	2:1
25.09.21	Ibiza - Burgos	2:0

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