Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 35

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.88	2.8	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.7
	2.8	2.95	2.7
	3.03	2.77	2.93
	2.88	2.77	2.88	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.67)	2.81 ↓ (2.86)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
32.9%

Draw
33.4%

Sporting de Gijón
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

32.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

30.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	36.4%	45.5%

Ibiza - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (61.07%), project points - 38, currently - 29, a very good chance of relegated (97%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Sporting de Gijón has the most likely position - 13 (10.51%), project points - 52, currently - 41, a very small chance of relegated (4%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, small importance 12, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Sporting de Gijón is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.23	Mirandés - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Ibiza - Burgos	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Leganés - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWTTW
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.23	Sporting de Gijón - Granada	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:4 ✺
05.03.23	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.09.22	Sporting de Gijón - Ibiza	2:1
01.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Ibiza	0:1
18.12.21	Ibiza - Sporting de Gijón	0:2

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