Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 30

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Fuentes Molina A. (Esp)


	Leganés		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	6	Watch
	1.77	2.95	5.25
	1.75	3.15	5.5
	1.76	3.05	5.4
	1.78	3.24	6
	1.74	3.18	5.95	Watch
	1.67	3.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	5.73 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
53.6%

Draw
30.1%

Ibiza
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

28.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	8.7%	4.3%

Leganés - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: Leganés will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Leganés has the most likely position - 8 (13.21%), has project points - 58, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (41.16%), has project points - 35, has currently - 20, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, small importance 14, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ibiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leganés is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
25.02.23	Mirandés - Leganés	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Leganés - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
13.02.23	Racing Santander - Leganés	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Eibar - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLWT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
26.02.23	Ibiza - Huesca	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Ibiza	4:2 ✺
12.02.23	Ibiza - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Lugo - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Ibiza - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.22	Ibiza - Leganés	0:2
12.03.22	Ibiza - Leganés	1:1
28.08.21	Leganés - Ibiza	1:2

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