Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 33

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.7	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.75
	2.8	2.75	2.88
	2.65	2.75	2.8
	3	2.87	2.85
	2.35	2.88	3.4
	2.91	2.81	2.79	Watch
	2.85	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.65)	2.8 ↓ (2.82)	2.87 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
33.9%

Draw
33.5%

Burgos
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

32.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

31.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Ibiza - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Burgos will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (45.78%), project points - 36, currently - 25, a very good chance of relegated (98%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Burgos has the most likely position - 7 (19.26%), project points - 60, currently - 46, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), a very small chance of promoted (4%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, small importance 14, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Ibiza is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burgos is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
18.03.23	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Leganés - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Ibiza - Huesca	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Ibiza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTWTL
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
19.03.23	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Eibar - Burgos	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Burgos - Granada	1:3 ✺
26.02.23	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.22	Burgos - Ibiza	2:0
17.04.22	Burgos - Ibiza	2:1
25.09.21	Ibiza - Burgos	2:0

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