Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Iguatu		Juventude

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	1.95
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	4	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.59	3.1	1.97
	3.67	3.16	1.93
	3.75	3.2	1.91
	3.83	3.26	2.01
	3.9	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (5.86)	3.21 ↓ (3.35)	1.95 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iguatu
24.5%

Draw
28.6%

Juventude
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

27.7%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

28.8%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iguatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iguatu's performance.

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventude might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iguatu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventude could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Iguatu - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Iguatu will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iguatu: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In case of a draw away team advances.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Iguatu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Juventude will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
24.02.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
07.02.24	Maracanã - Iguatu	2:2 ✺
31.01.24	Fortaleza - Iguatu	3:1 ✺
27.01.24	Iguatu - Caucaia	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Iguatu - Atlético Cearense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Juventude	1:0 ✺
19.02.24	Juventude - Caxias	1:1 ✺
13.02.24	São Luiz - Juventude	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Juventude - Avenida	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTTTW

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