Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	13:30	RTSH 2
International	12:30	FIFA+


	Iliria		Kastrioti

	1	X	2
	2.19	3.13	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 (2.19)	3.13 (3.13)	3.09 (3.09)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iliria
41.5%

Draw
29.1%

Kastrioti
29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Iliria have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Kastrioti have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).

Recent form of Iliria has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kastrioti is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iliria could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Iliria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Iliria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Iliria Fushe-Kruje	7	3	3	1	7:5	2	12
8	Kastrioti	8	2	2	4	8:11	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
21.12.25	Besa Kavajë - Iliria	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Iliria - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Iliria - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kukësi - Iliria	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Pogradeci - Iliria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWT
- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
20.12.25	Kastrioti - Lushnja	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Burreli - Kastrioti	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Kastrioti	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Kastrioti - Laçi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
19.10.25	Kastrioti - Iliria	1:1
Albanian Cup
02.10.19	Kastrioti - Iliria	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
29.10.26	Iliria - Flamurtari Vlorë	✺
- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
28.10.26	Kukësi - Kastrioti	✺

Iliria - Kastrioti