Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 14

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Iliria		Skënderbeu Korçë

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.5	1.68
	4.6	3.61	1.63
	4.28	3.36	1.76	Watch
	4	3.4	1.75
	4.58	3.62	1.65	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↓ (4.61)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iliria
20.6%

Draw
25.7%

Skënderbeu Korçë
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.2%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

24.3%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iliria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Skënderbeu Korçë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Iliria - Skënderbeu Korçë Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Skënderbeu (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Skënderbeu (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Skënderbeu Korçë will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Skënderbeu (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Abiodoun T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Cucka F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore).

In recent matches, Iliria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Skënderbeu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Skënderbeu is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iliria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
13.12.25	Iliria - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kukësi - Iliria	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Pogradeci - Iliria	0:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	4:2 ✺
Albanian First Division
03.11.25	Iliria - Burreli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTLT
- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian First Division
13.12.25	Laçi - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Lushnja	4:3 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	4:2 ✺
Albanian First Division
09.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	4:2
Albanian First Division
12.09.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	2:0

Iliria - Skënderbeu Korçë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide