Match Info

2. SNL - Round 14

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Ilirija Ljubljana		Gorica

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.35	2.3	Watch
	2.69	3.5	2.23
	2.88	3.59	2.21	Watch
	2.74	3.32	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.88)	3.44 ↓ (3.59)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilirija Ljubljana
33.3%

Draw
26.4%

Gorica
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

25.8%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.9%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Ilirija Ljubljana - Gorica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilirija won 1.

Recent form of Ilirija has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gorica has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ilirija won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilirija won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Ilirija Ljubljana - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.2%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
05.11.25	Bilje - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Dravinja	2:5 ✺
19.10.25	Nafta - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Krka	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bistrica - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLTT
- ND Gorica
Slovenian 2 SNL
02.11.25	Dravinja - Gorica	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Gorica - Krka	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Gorica	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Gorica - Slovan Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Triglav - Gorica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
07.05.25	Gorica - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1
26.10.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Gorica	1:3
07.04.24	Gorica - Ilirija Ljubljana	4:1
20.09.23	Ilirija Ljubljana - Gorica	0:4
13.03.22	Gorica - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:1
28.08.21	Ilirija Ljubljana - Gorica	0:1
Club Friendly
04.07.18	Gorica - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1

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