The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avro 53.9%
Draw 22.5%
Lancaster City 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.7%
21.6%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
20.5%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avro than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Avro - Lancaster City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Salt H. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Yawson S. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Smith R. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Bailey C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 3 - 2, Smith R. ⚽,
66', 3 - 3, Bailey S. ⚽,
72', 4 - 3, Harrop M. ⚽,
90+6', 5 - 3, Holland-Wilkinson J. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 12th).
Avro is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Lancaster has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lancaster may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Avro is considered the favorite to take the win.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Watch
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