Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 11

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.14	3.99
	1.68	3.92	4.25
	1.7	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.45)	3.94 ↓ (4.5)	4.08 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
54.1%

Draw
23.3%

Needham Market
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

18.8%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilkeston's form might have worsened.

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilkeston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Needham Market, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ilkeston - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Ilkeston is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Needham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ilkeston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ilkeston is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ilkeston to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English Southern League Central Division
04.03.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Ilkeston	2:3 ✺
28.02.23	Hednesford Town - Ilkeston	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Needham Market - Ilkeston	1:3 ✺
11.02.23	Ilkeston - Bedford Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTTWW
- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
07.03.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Needham Market - Stratford Town	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Bedford Town - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Needham Market - Ilkeston	1:3 ✺
14.02.23	Needham Market - Rushden & Diamonds	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.02.23	Needham Market - Ilkeston	1:3

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