The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hednesford Town 45.8%
Draw 27.4%
Ilkeston 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
25%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
24.3%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hednesford Town's form might have worsened.
Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hednesford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Hednesford Town - Ilkeston Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
82', 0 - 1, Stevens J. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, Turner D. ⚽,
90+5', Daniel C. 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 1, McHale D. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 13).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Hednesford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Hednesford could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hednesford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Hednesford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).