Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Stocksbridge Park Steels

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.4	3.35
	1.97	3.71	3.34	Watch
	1.95	3.48	3.32
	1.92	3.6	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)	3.55 ↓ (3.71)	3.34 (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
47%

Draw
25.7%

Stocksbridge Park Steels
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

25%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

21.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stocksbridge Park Steels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilkeston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilkeston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Owen E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Ilkeston have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stocksbridge has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ilkeston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ilkeston might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
18.11.25	Hebburn Town - Ilkeston	5:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Ilkeston - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Ilkeston - Ashton United	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Stockton Town - Ilkeston	0:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Ilkeston - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWW
- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Marine - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.25	Morpeth Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hednesford Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Workington	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
17.11.15	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ilkeston	3:2
14.11.15	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1
English NPL Premier Division
24.02.14	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	6:1
05.10.13	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ilkeston	2:3

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