Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 17

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Stocksbridge Park Steels

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.8	3.91	3.64
	1.54	4.38	4.99	Watch
	1.75	3.65	3.91
	1.49	4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.45)	3.91 ↓ (4)	4.35 ↓ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
55.1%

Draw
23.6%

Stocksbridge Park Steels
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22.9%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hednesford Town's form might have worsened.

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stocksbridge Park Steels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hednesford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stocksbridge Park Steels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hednesford Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hednesford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 17).

Hednesford is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stocksbridge has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hednesford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hednesford has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hednesford is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hednesford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Including home match between the teams, Hednesford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.11.25	Guiseley - Hednesford Town	1:5 ✺
28.10.25	Hednesford Town - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Lancaster City - Hednesford Town	0:0 ✺
14.10.25	Whitby Town - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Harborough Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLL
- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
05.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Workington	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Hyde United - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.25	Hyde United - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Prescot Cables - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
27.04.13	Hednesford Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	4:1

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