Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 15

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Morpeth Town		Stocksbridge Park Steels

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.35	2.82
	2.23	3.56	2.82
	2.39	3.57	2.64	Watch
	2.2	3.35	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	2.79 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
40.7%

Draw
26.5%

Stocksbridge Park Steels
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

27.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Stocksbridge Park Steels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Morpeth Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Morpeth will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Morpeth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Gordon B. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, James L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Bollado N. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).

In recent matches, Morpeth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stocksbridge is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stocksbridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Morpeth Town - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.2%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Hyde United - Morpeth Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Bradford Park Avenue - Morpeth Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Morpeth Town - Workington	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Morpeth Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWL
- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Hednesford Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Workington	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Hyde United - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.25	Hyde United - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWT

Morpeth Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide