Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Tamworth		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.6	6.5
	1.35	4.6	5.4
	1.36	4.8	6
	1.38	5.14	6.24
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.33	5.05	6.95
	1.35	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)	4.78 ↑ (4.47)	6.37 ↓ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
66.8%

Draw
18.9%

Bedford Town
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

20.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

12.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-26.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bedford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamworth - Bedford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 17).

Recent matches Tamworth is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bedford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tamworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tamworth have a series of guest games.

In this match Tamworth is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English Southern League Central Division
26.11.22	Nuneaton Town - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
22.11.22	Rushall Olympic - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Tamworth - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.22	Leiston - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
08.11.22	Needham Market - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWLL
- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
26.11.22	Bedford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:4 ✺
22.11.22	Bedford Town - Kings Langley	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Bedford Town - St Ives Town	1:3 ✺
08.11.22	Basford United - Bedford Town	3:1 ✺
05.11.22	Mickleover Sports - Bedford Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.08.22	Bedford Town - Tamworth	1:8

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