Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Nuneaton Town		Ilkeston

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Nuneaton Town
43.6%

Draw
25.8%

Ilkeston
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

24%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

24.2%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuneaton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilkeston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuneaton Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilkeston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs) and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ilkeston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nuneaton Town have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuneaton Town
English Southern League Central Division
05.11.22	St Ives Town - Nuneaton Town	1:2 ✺
01.11.22	Nuneaton Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Nuneaton Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
25.10.22	Nuneaton Town - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Nuneaton Town - Rushall Olympic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLTT
- Ilkeston FC
English Southern League Central Division
05.11.22	Ilkeston - Hitchin Town	3:1 ✺
25.10.22	Ilkeston - Stourbridge	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Ilkeston - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:1 ✺
15.10.22	Royston Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
11.10.22	Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWL

Nuneaton Town - Ilkeston