Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.75	3.5	2.21
	2.8	3.7	2.19
	2.85	3.67	2.26
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.79	3.58	2.17
	2.75	3.5	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.62)	3.55 ↓ (3.56)	2.21 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
33.1%

Draw
25.6%

Worksop Town
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

25.5%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

25.6%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ilkeston - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Daniel C. ⚽,
56', 2 - 0, Daniel C. ⚽,
58', Bencherif H. 🟥,
62', 3 - 0, Dixon C. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ilkeston won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Worksop Town - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
30.11.24	Ilkeston - Hebburn Town	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Warrington Rylands - Ilkeston	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Lancaster City - Ilkeston	4:3 ✺
02.11.24	Ilkeston - Blyth Spartans	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Prescot Cables - Ilkeston	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL
- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
30.11.24	Worksop Town - Stockton Town	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Lancaster City - Worksop Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Radcliffe - Worksop Town	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.11.24	Worksop Town - Whitby Town	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Hyde United - Worksop Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	2:0
13.01.24	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	1:2
09.09.23	Ilkeston - Worksop Town	1:2
21.04.14	Ilkeston - Worksop Town	0:0
26.12.13	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	5:2
01.04.13	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	1:4

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