Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Illescas		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.75
	1.68	3.2	4.6
	1.72	3.2	4.9
	1.69	3.39	5
	1.73	3.26	4.95	Watch
	1.75	3.2	5.06
	1.72	3.2	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.17)	3.22 ↑ (3.13)	4.88 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
53%

Draw
28.3%

Atlético Paso
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illescas's performance.

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Paso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illescas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Paso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Illescas - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Gutierrez E. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Corral S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 1, Pesca R. ⚽,
90+4', Garcia Zamora J. 🟥,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Illescas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Paso is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Illescas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Illescas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Atlético Paso to win the game is with odds 4.94.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Illescas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Illescas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.03.25	Colonia Moscardó - Illescas	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Illescas - Móstoles URJC	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Getafe B - Illescas	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Illescas - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Coria - Illescas	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.03.25	Atlético Paso - Conquense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Paso - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Real Madrid C - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético Paso - Unión Adarve	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.11.24	Atlético Paso - Illescas	2:1
28.01.24	Illescas - Atlético Paso	0:0
17.09.23	Atlético Paso - Illescas	1:1

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