Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 21Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday
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Marchamalo |
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Deportivo Toledo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.95 |
2.88 |
1.8 |
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5.01 |
3.08 |
1.78 |
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5.02 |
3.02 |
1.8 |
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4.8 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
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5.17 |
2.94 |
1.76 |
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5 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.99 ↑
(4.73) |
2.95 ↓
(3.16) |
1.79 ↑
(1.73) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marchamalo
18.3% | Draw
30.8% | Deportivo Toledo
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)Marchamalo - Deportivo Toledo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 0.Marchamalo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Toledo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Toledo is considered a favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 3:19. (average 0.3:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Marchamalo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 10 |
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| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 27.09.25 | Deportivo Toledo - Marchamalo | 3:1 | | 04.05.25 | Marchamalo - Deportivo Toledo | 0:1 | | 21.12.24 | Deportivo Toledo - Marchamalo | 2:0 | | 25.02.24 | Marchamalo - Deportivo Toledo | 0:0 | | 08.10.23 | Deportivo Toledo - Marchamalo | 4:0 | | 06.04.23 | Marchamalo - Deportivo Toledo | 0:1 | | 11.12.22 | Deportivo Toledo - Marchamalo | 0:0 |
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