Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Illescas		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.5
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.21	2.8	3.45
	2.23	2.91	3.6
	2.23	2.82	3.51	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.3
	2.26	2.77	3.58
	2.21	2.8	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.96)	2.8 ↓ (2.84)	3.45 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
41%

Draw
32.5%

Real Madrid C
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

32%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

30.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illescas's form might have worsened.

Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illescas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Illescas - Real Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Ortega J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.12.24	Unión Adarve - Illescas	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Illescas - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Cacereño - Illescas	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLL
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.12.24	Real Madrid C - Conquense	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Real Madrid C - Unión Sur Yaiza	4:1 ✺
24.11.24	Tenerife B - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Unión Adarve - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWTL

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